Will 401(k) plans keep getting worse?

Here's some cheery holiday reading. The sad reality of retirement plans is that in the future most of us won't have them.

And workers still think unions are a bad thing?

First we're seeing the demise of pensions. Next companies are bailing out of 401(k)s.

And meanwhile they're cutting wages and benefits. What a deal!

http://www.cnn.com/2012/12/12/opinion/ghilarducci … ?hpt=hp_t3


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  • BearinFW

    I respect your sentiments which are on the downside in terms of optimism about financial markets and such...

    Frankly, there is a wide sense of negativism about a lot of things in this country and world-wide these days...

    For me, I look at investments with a sense of caution and careful selection. I don't always hit it right... but have the notion that (1) I am not going to take it with me to my grave and (2) "it is only money..."

    There really isn't any choice...

    Some people overlook the fact that their 401(k) consists of a portfolio that can be changed by the owner. When people qualify for entry into an employer's 401(k) they select an investment strategy (conservative, moderate risk, and venturesome)... Each category represents a number of stocks whose performance indicates a best fit...

    Things change however... If a CEO changes the whole strategy for a company may change, as well. The new CEO might decide to withhold dividends and invest in new factories and equipment. The "bet" is that the company is looking long range... That is but one example...

    The real point is that the owner of a 401(k) can revisit their portfolio and change where the money is invested.

    A conservative stock might be earning little more than what one could draw in interest if you put that money in a bank savings account. The difference however is that the bank savings account is protected by the FDIC - investments in the stock market have no such guarantees backing them up...

    Thank heavens we don't have a lot of Enron companies - but it only takes one such investment firm to take everything from everyone... Which highlights a key investment principle that is advisable and that is to diversify one's investments...

    Diversity in investments can mean different levels of risk in the stock market - or, it can mean invest some in the stock market and some in bonds or mutual funds or IRA accounts... The choices are endless... and very confusing.

    But, for me, I believe in the investment strategy that any investment should be for the long term. Generally, that means 10-years or longer...

    My sister had the experience you allude to in your comments. She retired from being a school teacher after some 30 years. Her 403(b) hovered around $500k - within a short time in 2008/9 the value dropped by 50%... What she did in response, I do not know... But, she could have changed her investment portfolio and/or done some diversification to reduce the future propsect on rate of return...

    Life is full of risk - to include savings accounts at banks and credit unions (though less so because of the FDIC)...
    everysooften 12/14/2012 08:48 PM
  • Also, Evry, you're right on the risk element of 401(k)s. But to me, the fact that my company no long matches means that the 401(k) is no longer worth the risk. Combine that fact with the market crash of 2008-9 and the absolute unbridled corporate greed these days, and I'd rather have no return on the bulk of my savings than risk losing virtually everything I've got. I can't say that I have a very rosy outlook on the future.
    BearinFW 12/14/2012 01:24 AM
  • I think you're right, everysooften, that a big part of the problem now is that the way companies are run is so shortsighted. CEOs make such astronomical salaries (and the university president salaries you cited are nothing compared to major corporation CEOs) that all they care about is keeping stock prices pumped up and their board and stockholders happy so they can keep raking in the millions.

    In the meantime, things like employee loyalty and well being have been lost. Employees are no longer part of the solution; they're just obstacles to making more money.

    What companies don't seem to care about is that by turning this nation's workers into a workforce similar to China or Mexico there is going to be a tremendous loss in purchasing power that will ultimately wreck the whole economy. The workforce can't live on $8 an hour, much less buy all sorts of expensive goodies with it.
    BearinFW 12/13/2012 11:36 PM
  • 401(k) investments are still a good thing

    of course, one must have confidence in the US stock market to begin with...

    any investment necessarily involves risk - "no risk... no gain..."

    what galls me more than anything is the astronomical incomes awarded to CEOs... there is NO one person who is so valuable as to command such out-of-sight compensation packages...
    examples:
    (1) the President of Davenport University (11 campuses with about 11,000 student enrollment) gets: $319,997 (base), $155,000 (bonus and incentive), $18,319 (other), $74,635 (retirement and other deferred compensation), $13,633 (nottaxable benefits)

    (2) the Hope College President receives $348,351

    (3) the Calvin College President receives $244,319

    (4) the Cornerstone President receives $195,627

    (5) the Aquinas College President receives $181,091

    [these are institutions with interests in west Michigan]

    The above typify over-paid people... The CEO for my employer (two men previous) received $281,000 just to relocate from Europe to the US (he previously was the European President for an international hamburger firm... his annual compensation was around $500k together with 2million in stock options and miscellaneous incentives...

    These are not uncommon...

    Of course, the justification for such salaries are

    (1) a survey to see what others pay analyzed by a board committee

    (2) enactment/authorization by an "independent Board of Trustees/directors"...

    In my humble opinion our corporate system is in sad shape. Their priorities are upside down. There is nothing independent about a board of trustees/directors.

    When a company gets rid of their most experienced and talented employees (they "cost too much" are or are "too close to retirement") and replace them with fuzzy faced kids with a college degree the business actually saves $$$ in the short range but incurs a damaged reputation and impaired growth in the long range...

    Unions will not fix such things - the "system" that creates,authorizes and provides oversight of corporate boards is in need of repair. The difficulty lies in the "system" - we need to fix it. Following the depression there were major legislative repairs that worked for many years - but in today's world things are not like they were in 1939 - we need further repairs and a fresh approach to fostering business, governmental oversight and regulation, and conceptualize a new approach that is fair to all....

    FWIIW
    everysooften 12/13/2012 08:30 PM
  • Don't worry.... it will all start trickling down any day now!
    PDQuesnell 12/13/2012 06:33 PM
  • Look, I work for one of the companies that unilaterally decided to stop matching on 401(k)s. Without the company match, a 401(k) is worthless. Sure, you're saving a little on tax money now, but you're also exposing your savings to the stock market, which, as we saw in 2008-09, can devastate a 401(k) in no time. So I'm putting only a token amount into the 401(k) now and trying to save on my own, but that's easier said than done. This is another example of employers just not doing anything for their employees anymore. It's a growing trend that is only going to get worse. And without unions, there is nothing to prevent it.
    BearinFW 12/13/2012 03:46 PM
  • The Occupiers (remember them?) had/have a point about the unequal distribution of wealth in our nation. Just have a look at the trend lines in this graph. WAY too lopsided for the future of democratic processes as the money increasingly buys lobbyists and government officials. Guess one slim hope we have is to keep rejecting the bought-and-paid-for candidates the GOP keeps putting up. Gambling billionaire Addleson and the Koch Bros. spent nearly a half a billion dollars (or more, since they don't have to reveal where it all goes) in the last election and got very little for it.
    rjzip 12/13/2012 02:37 PM
  • I'm not so sure about the 401K plans specifially, but, regardless the vehicle, if U are appropriately diversified, U should do ok, or at least meet or beat the average. As to "traditional pension" plans--yep, along with the dinosaurs.

    My concern is this, and it gives some credence to QuiltGuy's statement that "when people get a few hundred bucks they spend rather than save it". What he really alludes to is the argument "live and be happy now, because tomorrow might never come". Borrow/spend today and maybe, JUST MAYBE, I'll pay tomorrow. Phenominal short-sightedness! Wonderful selfishness! Self-absorption in extremis!

    As to Bear's comment that companies are "bailing on 401k's". He's right; They have long bailed on traditional pension plans. The real answer is to take charge of ur future, be ur own best advocate, SAVE AT LEAST 5% and invest wisely! Oh, and pray!

    Wanna know what's next? the employer contribution to our health care premiums will soon be attacked as a "taxable" benefit. It's an expense item for the employer, so he gets to write it off. Big Uncle will have his hands in all our pockets looking for his share.

    Means testing is ON THE WAY! If U have saved some in a 401, 403, IRA, WHATEVER, and, when it's time to draw on them, ur anticipated yearly income from those before taxed instruments should yield U money equal to or greater than the average, I THINK THAT U will find that ur once-anticipated social security will be reduced, or U will be pay more in ongoing Medicare premiums (that happens right now), or U will be taxed at a higher rate. It's called "redistribution of wealth", gentlemen.

    Quilt has a point. I'm glad I'm not in my 20's either. I'm already on some list. (probably a different one than he'll be joining).
    ilikemeninjocks 12/13/2012 11:58 AM